On the tuning of atmospheric inverse methods: comparisons with the European Tracer Experiment (ETEX) and Chernobyl datasets using the atmospheric transport model FLEXPART
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Published:2020-12-01
Issue:12
Volume:13
Page:5917-5934
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ISSN:1991-9603
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Container-title:Geoscientific Model Development
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language:en
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Short-container-title:Geosci. Model Dev.
Author:
Tichý OndřejORCID, Ulrych Lukáš, Šmídl Václav, Evangeliou NikolaosORCID, Stohl Andreas
Abstract
Abstract. Estimation of the temporal profile of an atmospheric release, also
called the source term, is an important problem in environmental sciences.
The problem can be formalized as a linear inverse problem wherein the
unknown source term is optimized to minimize the difference between
the measurements and the corresponding model predictions. The problem
is typically ill-posed due to low sensor coverage of a release and
due to uncertainties, e.g., in measurements or atmospheric transport
modeling; hence, all state-of-the-art methods are based on some form
of regularization of the problem using additional information. We
consider two kinds of additional information: the prior source term,
also known as the first guess, and regularization parameters for the shape
of the source term. While the first guess is based on information
independent of the measurements, such as the physics of the potential
release or previous estimations, the regularization parameters are
often selected by the designers of the optimization procedure. In
this paper, we provide a sensitivity study of two inverse methodologies
on the choice of the prior source term and regularization parameters
of the methods. The sensitivity is studied in two cases: data from
the European Tracer Experiment (ETEX) using FLEXPART v8.1 and the
caesium-134 and caesium-137 dataset from the Chernobyl accident using
FLEXPART v10.3.
Publisher
Copernicus GmbH
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