XCO₂ estimates from the OCO-2 measurements using a neural network approach

Abstract

Abstract. The Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO-2) instrument measures high-resolution spectra of the sun's radiance reflected at the earth's surface or scattered in the atmosphere. These spectra are used to estimate the column-averaged dry air mole fraction of CO2 (XCO2) and the surface pressure. The official retrieval algorithm (NASA's Atmospheric CO2 Observations from Space retrievals, ACOS) is a full-physics algorithm and has been extensively evaluated. Here we propose an alternative approach based on an artificial neural network (NN) technique. For training and evaluation, we use as reference estimates (i) the surface pressures from a numerical weather model and (ii) the XCO2 derived from an atmospheric transport simulation constrained by surface air-sample measurements of CO2. The NN is trained here using real measurements acquired in nadir mode on cloud-free scenes during even-numbered months and is then evaluated against similar observations during odd-numbered months. The evaluation indicates that the NN retrieves the surface pressure with a root-mean-square error better than 3 hPa and XCO2 with a 1σ precision of 0.8 ppm. The statistics indicate that the NN trained with a representative set of data allows excellent accuracy that is slightly better than that of the full-physics algorithm. An evaluation against reference spectrophotometer XCO2 retrievals indicates similar accuracy for the NN and ACOS estimates, with a skill that varies among the various stations. The NN–model differences show spatiotemporal structures that indicate a potential for improving our knowledge of CO2 fluxes. We finally discuss the pros and cons of using this NN approach for the processing of the data from OCO-2 or other space missions.