Prediction of magnetic storm events using the <i>D<sub>st</sub></i> index

Author:

Anh V. V.,Yu Z. G.,Wanliss J. A.,Watson S. M.

Abstract

Abstract. This paper provides a method to predict magnetic storm events based on the time series of the Dst index over the period 1981-2002. This method is based on the multiple scaling of the measure representation of the Dst time series. This measure is modeled as a recurrent iterated function system, which leads to a method to predict storm patterns included in its attractor. Numerical results are provided to evaluate the performance of the method in outside-sample forecasts.

Publisher

Copernicus GmbH

Subject

General Medicine

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