Modeling of accident rates involving trucks in order to improve road safety in the Russian Federation

Author:

Ilina I.E.

Abstract

A statistical analysis of accidents on road transport in the Russian Federation involving trucks was carried out. We have studied the legal acts regulating road safety in General and the implementation of cargo transport in particular. The object of the study is the state of road safety. The possibility of using regression for modeling and analyzing the relationship between the number of cargo vehicles and the length of roads is considered. These indicators are taken into account for 85 regions of the Russian Federation. The result of the joint influence of independent variables on the number of road accidents is obtained. A multiple regression equation is given to explain the model parameters. The constructed model is useful, and the selected two variables “length of highways, km”, “number of cargo vehicles, units” allow predicting the level of accidents on road transport.

Publisher

EDP Sciences

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