Assessment of development prospects, economic effects and return on investment in the infrastructure of the international transport corridor “North-South”

Abstract

Objective: to substantiate the methodology of economic assessment of the return on investment in the development of the infrastructure of the international transport corridor “North-South” and on its basis to calculate the terms of return on investment of the Russian side (Russian investors) according to the basic and optimistic options. Methods: feasibility study, scenario modeling and forecasting, supply chain modeling. As a result of the conducted research: the methodology of economic assessment of investments in the development of the international transport corridor is justified, indicators and algorithms for calculating transport and non-transport effects are proposed, the terms of return on investments of the Russian side (Russian investors) in the infrastructure of the international transport corridor “North-South”, in the amount of 13.2 billion dollars, are estimated The United States, which until 2030 amounted to: according to the baseline scenario: 64 years, according to the optimistic scenario: 18 years.