Author:
Kartsan Igor,Zhukov Aleksandr,Pronichkin Sergey,Talagaeva Dar'ya,Gedzyun Viktor,Kozlova Tatiana
Abstract
The use of mechanisms of development institutions to support small innovative enterprises involved in the creation of new management systems is necessary to accelerate the transformation of the economy. The activities of small innovative enterprises are associated with certain risks. The mathematical formalization of risks was carried out on the basis of criteria such as the variance of the utility function values under uncertainty. A systematic analysis of the attribute space for the evaluation of small innovative enterprises and the identification of abnormal levels of temporary data sets was carried out. Models are proposed to describe the trend and oscillatory components of risk analysis and short-term forecasting. The cyclical nature of the performance indicators of small innovative enterprises and the dysfunction of the national innovation system are revealed.