Probabilistic assessment of the role of the soil degradation main factors in Kuban rice fields

Abstract

As a result of reclamation systems for rice cultivation construction, the conditions of genesis and landscapes soil formation were radically violated. This led to the leaching of active humus and calcium, colloidal particles, nutrients from arable layer to underlying horizons, as a result of which there is a tendency to secondary salinization and solonization of soils. The development of the eluvial glue process and physicochemical parameters change of soils causes a change in the morphological soil profile. Currently relevant are preventing land degradation problems, maintaining and restoring soil fertility. In the article, the authors propose to characterize the rice irrigation system functioning mode from probabilistic point of view. They offer to evaluate the consequences of anthropogenic load, considering operational activities by Poisson stream of a certain intensity. This approach allows to consider uncertainty in terms of probability distributions. The function, characterizing soil quality S(t) was introduced. The function S(t) assumed to be monotonously decreasing. The probability R(S) of achieving a certain soil quality was considered. In case of minimum amount of humus Sm the soil is degrading. In these assumptions the average value expression and probability density of particular soil condition onset duration was received.