Trend Model for Regional Energy Consumption System Based on Theory of Synergetics

Abstract

Trend model is a method of research on the evolution process of objects. Based on the synergetics, this paper raises a trend model for regional energy consumption systems by formula derivation and theoretical assumptions. This paper chooses Wuhan City as a case to construct the model and analyse the trend of its evolution. The results prove that the prediction effect of this model is good. The exponential smoothing method was chosen to compare with the trend model for the regional energy consumption system, and the result shows trend model raised in this paper makes good performance on the forecast.