Development of the computerized decision-making support system for the prevention and revealing of dangerous zones of flooding

Abstract

In considered article the results are presented of the carried out researches on high-mountainous lakes of the Tashkent area. Visual inspection of a modern condition of natural dams of considered high-mountainous lakes of the Tashkent oblast is carried out. On the basis of the analysis of visual inspection it is possible to note, that the common technical condition of natural dams of the submitted high-mountainous lakes safe and does not represent danger to downstream situated territories. It was carried out the modeling of occurrence of emergency situation on high-mountainous lakes of the Tashkent oblast in case of full or partial destruction of natural dams. By an available calculation method of flooding waves are determined its key parameters, height of a wave, speed of distribution of a wave of break on the certain distances and reaching time the given wave up to the certain distances. On the basis of calculation method have been calculated and put on cross-sections of the rivers Pskem and Kocy zones of possible flooding in full and partial destruction of dams of high-mountainous lakes. Results of the carried out calculations have been put on the digital map, created on platform ArcView 3.2a.