Research on the Forecast of Urban Underground Space Demand

Abstract

Forecasting the capacity demand of underground space is the difficulty and a heat point in urban planning and urban underground space development. Through the survey data of Shanghai underground space capacity in 2006 and 2008, this paper conducts an empirical study on forecasting the capacity demand of underground space using thespatial regression model as the classical model by applying tools of STATA, SPSS and ArcGIS. The study indicates that the scale of underground space development and use is in a significant positive relationship with the population density and GDP per capita, but is not relevant with the price of real estate. The characteristics are apparently different in the underground space development and use in Shanghai between the central and the rural area. The underground space development in Shanghai is at the stage of rapid promotion, and will keep increasing at a high speed. The paper reveals the development law of Shanghai underground space development and the method of forecasting the capacity of underground space so as to provide theoretical analysis tool for development of underground space in Shanghai and other cities.