Application of the Pareto front for risk control in the transport system

Abstract

The article describes the developed model of controlling the process of means of transport operation, in which the choice of control strategy is carried out using non-deterministic methods. The model presented in the paper allows one to evaluate the quality of the transport system operation from the point of view of selected evaluation criteria: the risk of occurrence of undesired events and the availability of means of transport. The article presents a description of the method for determining the optimal (quasi-optimal) strategy for controlling the process of the use of means of transport taking into account the semi-Markov decision- making processes. The selection of the optimal (quasi-optimal) solution is carried out using the genetic algorithm and the simulated annealing algorithm. As a result of numerical calculations, for the criterion functions used, a set of quasi-optimal solutions is obtained in the form of the so- called Pareto front. This applies to the selection of possible decision variants, such a strategy for controlling the operation process, for which the functions constituting the evaluation criteria achieve values belonging to the Pareto-optimal solutions set.