Fuzzy rule-based model to optimize outflow in single reservoir operation

Abstract

Reservoir operations, especially those which regulate the outflow (release) volume, are crucial for the fulfillment of the purpose to build the reservoir. To get the best results, outflow (release) discharges need to be optimized to meet the objectives of the reservoir operation. A fuzzy rule-based model was used in this study because it can deal with uncertainty constraints and objects without clear or well-defined boundaries. The objective of this study is to determine the maximum total release volume based on water availability (i.e., a monthly release is equal to or more than monthly demand). The case study is located at Darma reservoir. A fuzzy rule-based model was used to optimize the monthly release volume, and the result was compared with that of NLP and the demand. The Sugeno fuzzy method was used to generate fuzzy rules from a given input-output data set that consisted of demand, inflow, storage, and release. The results of this study showed that the release of Sugeno method and the demand have the same basic pattern, in which the release fulfill the demand. The overall result showed that the fuzzy rule-based model with Sugeno method can be used for optimization based on real-life experiences from experts that are used to working in the field.