Simple mathematical model to predict the amount of energy produced in wind turbine - preliminary study

Abstract

The manuscript presents a simple mathematical model for predicting the amount of energy produced in a wind turbine. As part of the own research, the data obtained from the SCADA program for the Enercon E-82 wind turbine was analyzed. It has been shown that it is possible to build a mathematical model to determine the amount of energy produced from the average wind speed. This method will be primarily useful for forecasting the volume of production as well as electricity demand, with particular emphasis on renewable energy sources. The application of the developed method in practice will facilitate and accelerate the implementation of the decision-making process in electricity production systems, while reducing the risk of error. This model can also be used to make repowering decisions.