Improving Efficiency of Rolling Production by Predicting Negative Technological Events

Abstract

Improving the production efficiency is the task with the increasing difficulty. Therefore, it is important to constantly expand the set of tools and perfect the methodology for improving the processes. Some of the losses associated with the negative technological events (breaks, drifting, etc.) are difficult to eliminate completely due to the complexity of making changes to the basic technology. But if you know in advance that the event will occur, you can significantly reduce the probability and consequences, thereby significantly improve the efficiency of the production process. Therefore, it is important to develop and introduce the applied approaches to forecasting the negative technological events in the production processes. This paper presents the method of the forecast-event statistical analysis of the cause-and-effect relationships. The technique was tested on the events of strip’s breakage during rolling at the cold rolling mill 1400 and strip’s drifting in the input storage of the continuous etching unit (CEU). Based on the presented methodology, the specialized digital service was developed and introduced in the production processes of the dynamo steels shop.