Human Factor Analysis Model of Civil Aviation Incidents Based on Bayesian Network

Author:

Zhang Ming Ming1,Wang Yan Yang1,Luo Min2,Tang Wen Zhong1

Affiliation:

1. Beihang University

2. China Academy of Civil Aviation Science and Technology

Abstract

To generate a model which can provides detailed data analysis supportive in aviation incident analysis, a human factor analysis model based on Bayesian network theory is established. This model is a Bayesian network which uses three layers nodes to represent causality between human factors and incidents. The specific impact degree of human factors on aviation incidents is represented by conditional probability parameters of the model. The model structure, constructed by combing hill-climbing search method with CH score function, coincides with the actual data. This model is useful in aviation incident analyses and deductions.

Publisher

Trans Tech Publications, Ltd.

Subject

General Engineering

Reference10 articles.

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3. Zhiqin Huo, Zinan Xie. Application of Reason Model to Air Traffic Control, , CSSJ, Jan (2008).

4. Ruishan Sun, Lei Wang, Analysis of human factors integration aspects for aviation accidents and incidents, Lecture Notes in Computer Science, pp.834-841, (2007).

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