Abstract
This study reports on the development in road traffic accidents in Nigeria since 1994.
The preliminary survey took Edo state, one of the 36 constituent States of Nigeria, as a case study.
An intervention model, which is a combination of an ARIMA noise and dichotomous models, was
employed in analyzing a seven-year monthly accident time series obtained from the Federal Office
of Statistics and the Federal Road Safety Corps of Nigeria. The Durbin Watson’s test statistic, used
to ascertain the adequacy of our ARIMA predictive model, suggested that the intervention model
adopted has a good fit. The study points up a significant reduction in the rate of road traffic
accidents through multiple policy interventions of Nigeria.
Publisher
Trans Tech Publications, Ltd.
Cited by
4 articles.
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