Risk Assessment of Power Transformer Life Cycle Cost Based on Analytical Hierarchy Process

Author:

Hu Wen Ping1,Li Yang2,Wang Xiao Wei1,Duan Xiao Bo1

Affiliation:

1. Hebei Electric Power Research Institute

2. North China Electric Power University

Abstract

Transformer life cycle cost risk was analyzed systematically and scientifically. Risk evaluation index system of the transformer life cycle cost was established based on AHP(Analytical Hierarchy Process) . The 1-9 scale of the risk indicators was used to determine the weight of the evaluation index system, thus the combination of expert experience with quantitative and qualitative evaluation results are realized. Application results show that the method have practicality and effectiveness and has theoretical and practical significance for proposed effective cost risk optimization and control strategies for cost risk factors to minimize the risk of transformer life cycle cost.

Publisher

Trans Tech Publications, Ltd.

Reference7 articles.

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3. Ni, Ming. McCalley, James D. Vittal, Vijay etc. Online Risk-Based Security Assessment[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems. Vol. 18, NO1, pp.258-265. (2003).

4. X.C. Luo,L. Li,Z.L. Wei: Applications of Life Cycle Cost Theory in Decision-Making of Investment for Distribution Transformers Renovation. Power System Technology, vol. 35, NO. 2, pp.207-211. China(2011).

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