Abstract
In order to solve the problem of duration predicting in the project with poor information, small sample and uncertainty, a method based on grey system theory is put forward to predicting the duration of the coupled task set. A grey duration prediction model GM(1,1) is built, and the accuracy of the model is tested through residual, degree of incidence and posterior variance. Finally, the feasibility of the prediction model is verified by a practical application case.
Publisher
Trans Tech Publications, Ltd.
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