Analysis of the Development Trend of Chinese Textile Industry Based on Growth Curve Model

Author:

Ma Tao1,Zhao Hong1

Affiliation:

1. Tianjin Polytechnic University

Abstract

Growth-curve models are generalized multivariate analysis-of-variance models. This kind of method was widely used in the prediction of industry development cycle. The textile industry occupies an important position in the national economy of China. The paper analyzed the development trend of Chinese textile industry based on growth curve model and found out that Chinese textile industry is in the formative stage and is about to begin entered into matured period. The next five years the average annual growth rate of Chinese textile industry can reach more than 9 percent, and the textile industry output will reach 6 trillions in 2015.

Publisher

Trans Tech Publications, Ltd.

Subject

General Engineering

Reference4 articles.

1. Chinese textile industry Yearbook (Textile Industry Press, China 1995-1999).

2. Chinese textile industry Development Report (Textile Industry Press, China 2000 - 2008).

3. Jian-Xin Pan, Kai-Tai Fang, Kaitai Fang: Growth curve models and statistical diagnostics (Science Press, China 2004).

4. Information on http: /www. ctei. gov. cn.

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