Estimating Daily Solar Radiation Using Hargreaves Model in Eastern Malaysia

Author:

Yusoff Mohd Irwan1,Irwanto Muhamad1,Ibrahim Safwati2,Nair Gomesh1,Hassan Syed Idris Syed1,Fitra Muhamad1

Affiliation:

1. Universiti Malaysia Perlis

2. University of Malaya

Abstract

This paper presents the forecasting of solar radiation in Kelantan, Eastern Malaysia for the year of 2011 using Hargreaves model. This estimation is based on latitude and daily minimum and maximum temperature in Kelantan. The measured and estimated solar radiation data were compared for the year 2011 and analyzed using coefficient of residual mass (CRM), root mean squared error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R2) and percentage error (e). The results showed that the value ofCRMis 0.09, it indicates the tendency of the estimation model to under-estimate the measure solar radiation. Meanwhile, the value ofRMSEis 8.21% and the value ofR2is 0.8661, closed to 1 indicates that about 86.61% of the total variation is explained in the data. For thee, the value is 7.98%, it indicates that the model estimation is good.

Publisher

Trans Tech Publications, Ltd.

Reference23 articles.

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2. O. A. Bamiro, Empirical relations for the determination of solar radiation in Ibadan, Nigeria, Sol. Energy. 31(1983) 85 – 94.

3. B. Golderg, WH. Klein, RD. McCartney, A comparison of some simple models used to predict solar irradiance on a horizontal surface, Solar Energy. 23 (1979) 81-83.

4. L. A. Hunt, L. Kuchar, C. J. Swanton, Estimation of solar radiation for use in crop modelling. Agric Forest Meteorol. 91(1998) 293-300.

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