Research of High-Speed Rail Express Delivery Market Demand Prediction Problem in China

Abstract

The rapid development of high-speed railway brought tremendous opportunity for the quick transport of goods development. Great efforts to build high-speed rail not only release the existing railway transport capacity, but also provide a new choice to the quick transport of goods. This paper choose some factors to analysis which will influence the express transport, using time series forecasting prediction and gray combination forecasting method to predict results of the 2020 Express Freight shipments. By selecting the integrity, economy, efficiency, convenience, punctuality, service and environmental friendliness those seven Utility Index, established Logit cargo flow rate balancing model, to concluded that high-speed fast freight volume in 2020, which provide references for high-speed rail fast cargo transportation organization.