Prediction on Chinas Coal Supply Based on Changeable Weight Combination Forecasting Model

Author:

Song Yu Chen1,Li Xiao Bing1,Meng Hai Dong1,Yang Zhen Hua1

Affiliation:

1. Inner Mongolia University of Science and Technology

Abstract

The paper uses the changeable weight combination forecasting model that combines GM (1, 1) model and regression model to predict the coal supply of China. Firstly, briefly introduce the basic principles of the GM (1, 1) model, regression model and changeable weight combination forecasting model. Secondly, use the three models to predict the total amount of coal supply of China. Finally the research shows that the changeable weight combination forecasting model can improve the prediction accuracy, at the same time the relevant recommendations are given according to the prediction results.

Publisher

Trans Tech Publications, Ltd.

Reference3 articles.

1. Song Yuchen, Zhang Zhiqi. Prediction on Energy Requirements of China"12th Five Planning" Base on ARIMA Model[J]. Coal Engineering, 2012(01): 76-79.

2. Wang Jianliang, Feng Lianyong, Tverberg, Gail E. An analysis of China's coal supply and its impact on China's future economic growth[J]. ENERGY POLICY, 2013, 57: 542-551.

3. Tang Zhenhua, Su Yaxin, Mao Yuru. The Thinking about development of new energy to replace fossil energy[J]. Energy and Environment, 2005(2): 10-13.

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