New Approach for Modeling of Air Traffic Flow

Abstract

<strong><strong></strong></strong> Firstly, from the strategic level flow prediction and tactical traffic flow prediction analysis of two methods of flight flow forecast, put forward by the combination method of strategic level forecast, the dead reckoning for the tactical traffic flow prediction. According to the characteristics of dynamic air traffic flow prediction, inference algorithm for aircraft trajectory conjecture by great circle track and isometric track, so as to realize the dynamic traffic prediction. Basic factors that error in in-depth study on track, according to the actual situation of Guangzhou area control center control operation, analyzes and summarizes the influence of dead reckoning uncertainty factors, proposes an equiangular track improved predictive models, and flight data is validated using actual controllers in Guangzhou, the results show that the prediction accuracy of the improved model significant improvement.