A Wavelet Neural Network Forecasting Model Based on ARIMA

Abstract

Stock index series is Non-stationary, Nonlinear and factors with impact on stock index fluctuation are complex, a time series forecasting model combined ARIMA model and wavelet neural network is presented. The combined model uses BP neural network as the main framework, uses wavelet basis function instead of transfer function in the network, also add some inner factors of the time series mining by ARIMA model, as the part impute of Wavelet Neural Network. So it is more scientific and rational that using inner factors and external other factors. The last simulate experiment shows that the wavelet neural network forecasting model based on ARIMA has higher accuracy than ARIMA model or BP network.