A Method of Network Security Situation Prediction Based on Gray Neural Network Model

Author:

Liu Nian1,Li Geng2,Liu Yong3

Affiliation:

1. Sichuan University

2. State Administration of Taxation

3. China Aerodynamics Research and Development Center

Abstract

In this paper, a new network security situation intelligent analysis prediction method is proposed, which applies GM(1,1) model and BP neural network model in the analytic prediction field of network security situation information, and combination and optimization is performed to it to improve the accuracy of network security situation prediction. By analyzing and calculating the great amount of information acquired from network security situation evaluation system, it is able to make prediction on the current security situation of network system and the its future change trend, and make and implement relative response strategy according to prediction results, and reduce the harm from network attacks and improve the emergency response ability of network information system, so that we can make preparation before great damage occurs and reduce or avoid any possible attack to ensure the smooth running of system. The experiment results show that this method is a better solution for network security situation prediction.

Publisher

Trans Tech Publications, Ltd.

Reference6 articles.

1. Deng Julong: Grey Forecast and Grey Decision-making, Huazhong University of Science & Technology Press, (1986).

2. Guo Qisheng, Dong Zhiming, Li Liang, Cao Junhai, Shan Jiayuan: System Modeling and Imitating, National Defence Industry Press. (2007).

3. Wang Lijuan: Grey System Based Data Mining Technique and Its Application. Journal of Henan Agricultural University. Vol. 40 No. 6 (2006), p.668.

4. WEI Jun, MA Jun: The Application of Gray Forecasting Method in Software Industry. Journal of Shijiazhuang University of Economics. Vol. 24, No. 1 ( 2001), pp.96-105.

5. Martin T. Hagan, Howard B. Demuth, Mark Beale. Neural Network Design. China Machine Press, (2002).

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