Fire Situation Forecasting Based on Support Vector Machine Optimized by Genetic Algorithm

Author:

Liang Yue1,Guo Hong Xia1

Affiliation:

1. Engineering University of Armed Police Force

Abstract

Improve the prediction accuracy of fire situation reasonably has great significance for fire prevention and fire deployment. Firstly, build a fire situation prediction model by using support vector regression; followed adopt genetic algorithm to select the optimal combination of parameters; finally provide empirical analysis by taking Chinese Zhejiang Province, test reliability and practicality of model. The results showed that: the fire prediction model based on support vector machine has ideal learning ability and generalization ability; the predicted results possess a high precision, thus providing the new idea and method for predicting fire situation.

Publisher

Trans Tech Publications, Ltd.

Subject

General Engineering

Reference9 articles.

1. Li Yin-qing. Fire Protection Engineering. Beijing: Chemical Industry Press, 2004: 25-27.

2. Wu Qi-hong. Fire in the form of seriousness and urgency of disciplines. Fire Science and Technology, 24(2), pp.145-152, (2005).

3. Jiang Xue-peng, Xu Zhi-sheng. Time trend analysis of fire loss and dynamic Forecast. Fire Science and Technology, 24(4), pp.412-414, (2005).

4. Zhen Shuang-zhong. City Fire predictive analysis based on gray system theory. Mathematics in Practice and Theory, 35(1), pp.72-76, (2005).

5. Shi Shi-liang, Tang Guang-fa, He Li-wen. Building fire prediction model and its application based on wavelet neural network. Journal of Railway Science and Engineering, 2(2), pp.34-37, (2005).

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