Multiple Linear Regression Analysis of Factors Contributing to the Spread of Cholera in Kenya from 2000 to 2022

Author:

Okinyi Samuel1,Karomo Joseph Njuguna1,Mbinya Nzioka Dorcas1,Thoya Mohammed Kassim1

Affiliation:

1. Department of Pure and Applied Sciences, Kirinyaga University, Nairobi, Kenya

Abstract

Cholera is a deadly disease caused by consumption of either food or water that is contaminated with bacterium known as Vibro cholerae. In the 19<sup>th</sup> century, Cholera had spread across the globe from its original source in Ganges Delta, India. This research aimed to investigated the factors contributing to the spread of Cholera in Kenya from 2000 to 2022. The key objective was to fit a multiple linear regression model which aid in determining the goodness of fit as well as examining the relationship between different types of drinking water and spread of Cholera. Secondary data was obtained from United Nations International Children’s Emergency Fund (UNICEF) and World Health Organization (WHO). The results showed a strong positive linear relationship between Surface water and proportion of population affected by Cholera. 88% total variation in the proportion of population being affected by Cholera can be explained by the Unimproved Basic water (UBW), Surface water (SW) and Least Basic drinking water (LBW). Significantly this research encouraged the use of the least basic drinking water which clearly showed an inverse proportion to the proportion of population affected by Cholera. In addition to that, the researchers recommend improved access to clean water and create awareness on the dangers of using untreated water.

Publisher

Science Publishing Group

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