Seasonal variation in the incidence of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage in hospital- and community-based studies

Abstract

Object. The aim of this study was to examine seasonal variations in the onset of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in one hospital-based and one community-based patient series. Methods. The study population consisted of 941 patients with aneurysmal SAH who were admitted to Shimane Prefectural Central Hospital and 358 patients who were treated in Izumo City, Japan. When investigated as a whole, no significant seasonal variations were found in either population; however, in both series, statistically significant seasonal trends, with a peak in winter and a nadir in summer, were found among patients aged 59 years or younger (p < 0.05 for the hospital-based series and p < 0.005 for the community-based series), but not among those aged 60 years or older, regardless of sex. In the hospital-based series, seasonal variations were most apparent at certain times of day, with significant variations observed between 8:00 a.m. and 10:00 a.m. or 8:00 a.m. and noon (p < 0.001 and p < 0.005, respectively), regardless of patient age, and between 4:00 p.m. and 6:00 p.m. for patients aged 59 years or younger (p < 0.05). Consequently, seasonal variations were significant during daytime hours (between 8:00 a.m. and 8:00 p.m., p < 0.005) but not during the night (between 8:00 p.m. and 8:00 a.m.). Similar tendencies were found in the community-based series. Among patients aged 59 years or younger who had no risk factors for SAH, these seasonal variations were significant in both series. In patients with untreated hypertension, who were current smokers and daily alcohol drinkers, however, no significant patterns were observed in either series, even among younger patients. Conclusions. In both hospital- and community-based studies, aneurysmal SAH appears to undergo seasonal variation, with a peak in winter and a nadir in summer. This seasonal pattern may be derived mainly from the occurrence of SAH in the morning, but may also be modified by patient age and SAH risk factors, resulting in the masking of significant seasonal patterns when all patients are considered together.