Using an artificial neural network to predict traumatic brain injury

Abstract

OBJECTIVEPediatric traumatic brain injury (TBI) is common, but not all injuries require hospitalization. A computational tool for ruling in patients who will have a clinically relevant TBI (CRTBI) would be valuable, providing an evidence-based way to safely discharge children who are at low risk for a CRTBI. The authors hypothesized that an artificial neural network (ANN) trained on clinical and radiologist-interpreted imaging metrics could provide a tool for identifying patients likely to suffer from a CRTBI.METHODSThe authors used the prospectively collected, publicly available, multicenter Pediatric Emergency Care Applied Research Network (PECARN) TBI data set. All patients under the age of 18 years with TBI and admission head CT imaging data were included. The authors constructed an ANN using clinical and radiologist-interpreted imaging metrics in order to predict a CRTBI, as previously defined by PECARN: 1) neurosurgical procedure, 2) intubation > 24 hours as direct result of the head trauma, 3) hospitalization ≥ 48 hours and evidence of TBI on a CT scan, or 4) death due to TBI.RESULTSAmong 12,902 patients included in this study, 480 were diagnosed with CRTBI. The authors’ ANN had a sensitivity of 99.73% with precision of 98.19%, accuracy of 97.98%, negative predictive value of 91.23%, false-negative rate of 0.0027%, and specificity for CRTBI of 60.47%. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.9907.CONCLUSIONSThe authors are the first to utilize artificial intelligence to predict a CRTBI in a clinically meaningful manner, using radiologist-interpreted CT information, in order to identify pediatric patients likely to suffer from a CRTBI. This proof-of-concept study lays the groundwork for future studies incorporating iterations of this algorithm directly into the electronic medical record for real-time, data-driven predictive assistance to physicians.