Predictors of outcome in the quadriparetic nonambulatory myelopathic patient with rheumatoid arthritis: a prospective study of 55 surgically treated Ranawat Class IIIb patients

Abstract

✓ The functional results of surgery in patients with myelopathic nonambulatory rheumatoid arthritis (Ranawat Class IIIb) are often disappointing, with high rates of postoperative morbidity and mortality. The authors therefore undertook a detailed investigation of a cohort of 55 Ranawat Class IIIb patients (11 men and 44 women) with a mean age of 64.7 years who were recruited prospectively over a 10-year period (1983–1993), to determine what factors may accurately predict a good surgical outcome. Only 14 patients (25.5%) were judged to have had a favorable outcome as determined by an improvement to Ranawat Class I or II or an improvement of at least 0.5 points in the Stanford Health Assessment Questionnaire disability index. The early postoperative mortality rate was high (12.7%) in this group and almost one-quarter of the patients were dead within 6 months. These poor results mirror those already published in the existing literature. Univariate analysis revealed that age (p = 0.02), degree of vertical translocation (p = 0.05), and, more importantly, spinal cord area (p = 0.006) were significant predictors of outcome. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that spinal cord area (p = 0.026) was, in fact, the major determinant of outcome and, indeed, of long-term survival (p = 0.001). The mean spinal cord area of those patients not achieving a good outcome was 44 mm2. The atlantodens interval (ADI) was not shown to be a significant outcome determinant, which may be explained by the correlation between an increasing vertical translocation and a decreasing ADI (r = 0.4, p = 0.01). Furthermore, as the degree of vertical translocation increased, the space available for the cord was observed to decrease (p = 0.003) commensurate with a reduction in spinal cord area (p = 0.02). Together, these findings strongly argue for earlier surgical intervention, before the development of vertical translocation, permanent neurological damage, and spinal cord atrophy can occur.