The Prognostic and Predictive Effects of Human Papillomavirus Status in Hypopharyngeal Carcinoma: Population-Based Study

Abstract

Background The role of the Human Papillomavirus (HPV) status in patients with hypopharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (HSCC) remains controversial. Objective Our aim was to determine the prognostic and predictive effects of HPV status in patients with locally advanced HSCC (stage III-IVB) receiving primary radiotherapy. Methods Patients diagnosed with stage III-IVB HSCC between 2010 and 2016 were identified. HPV status, demographics, clinicopathological characteristics, treatment, and survival data were captured. Kaplan-Meier analysis, multivariable Cox regression analysis, and propensity score matching analysis were performed. Results We identified 531 patients in this study and 142 (26.7%) patients with HPV-positive diseases. No significant differences were observed between those with HPV-negative and HPV-positive diseases with regard to demographics, clinicopathological characteristics, and chemotherapy use. HPV-positive HSCC had better head and neck cancer-specific survival (HNCSS; P=.001) and overall survival (OS; P<.001) compared to those with HPV-negative tumors. Similar results were found using the multivariable Cox regression analysis. Sensitivity analyses showed that the receipt of chemotherapy was associated with significantly improving HNCSS (P<.001) and OS (P<.001) compared to not receiving chemotherapy in HPV-negative HSCC, whereas comparable HNCSS (P=.59) and OS (P=.12) were found between both treatment arms in HPV-positive HSCC. Similar results were found after propensity score matching. Conclusions Approximately one-quarter of HSCC may be HPV-related, and HPV-positive HSCC is associated with improved survival outcomes. Furthermore, additional chemotherapy appears to be not related to a survival benefit in patients with HPV-positive tumors who received primary radiotherapy.