Comparison of the Discrimination Performance of AI Scoring and the Brixia Score in Predicting COVID-19 Severity on Chest X-Ray Imaging: Diagnostic Accuracy Study (Preprint)

Author:

Tenda Eric DanielORCID,Yunus Reyhan EddyORCID,Zulkarnaen BennyORCID,Yugo Muhammad ReynalziORCID,Pitoyo Ceva WicaksonoORCID,Asaf Moses MazmurORCID,Islamiyati Tiara NurORCID,Pujitresnani AriertaORCID,Setiadharma AndryORCID,Henrina JoshuaORCID,Rumende Cleopas MartinORCID,Wulani VallyORCID,Harimurti KuntjoroORCID,Lydia AidaORCID,Shatri HamzahORCID,Soewondo PradanaORCID,Yusuf Prasandhya AstagiriORCID

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The artificial intelligence (AI) analysis of chest x-rays can increase the precision of binary COVID-19 diagnosis. However, it is unknown if AI-based chest x-rays can predict who will develop severe COVID-19, especially in low- and middle-income countries.

OBJECTIVE

The study aims to compare the performance of human radiologist Brixia scores versus 2 AI scoring systems in predicting the severity of COVID-19 pneumonia.

METHODS

We performed a cross-sectional study of 300 patients suspected with and with confirmed COVID-19 infection in Jakarta, Indonesia. A total of 2 AI scores were generated using CAD4COVID x-ray software.

RESULTS

The AI probability score had slightly lower discrimination (area under the curve [AUC] 0.787, 95% CI 0.722-0.852). The AI score for the affected lung area (AUC 0.857, 95% CI 0.809-0.905) was almost as good as the human Brixia score (AUC 0.863, 95% CI 0.818-0.908).

CONCLUSIONS

The AI score for the affected lung area and the human radiologist Brixia score had similar and good discrimination performance in predicting COVID-19 severity. Our study demonstrated that using AI-based diagnostic tools is possible, even in low-resource settings. However, before it is widely adopted in daily practice, more studies with a larger scale and that are prospective in nature are needed to confirm our findings.

CLINICALTRIAL

Publisher

JMIR Publications Inc.

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