Using Infodemiology Metrics to Assess Public Interest in Liver Transplantation: Google Trends Analysis (Preprint)

Author:

Effenberger MariaORCID,Kronbichler AndreasORCID,Bettac EricaORCID,Grabherr FelixORCID,Grander ChristophORCID,Adolph Timon ErikORCID,Mayer GertORCID,Zoller HeinzORCID,Perco PaulORCID,Tilg HerbertORCID

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Liver transplantation (LT) is the only curative treatment for end-stage liver disease. Less than 10% of global transplantation needs are met worldwide, and the need for LT is still increasing. The death rates on the waiting list remain too high.

OBJECTIVE

It is, therefore, critical to raise awareness among the public and health care providers and in turn increasingly acquire donors.

METHODS

We performed a Google Trends search using the search terms <i>liver transplantation</i> and <i>liver transplant</i> on October 15, 2020. On the basis of the resulting monthly data, the annual average Google Trends indices were calculated for the years 2004 to 2018. We not only investigated the trend worldwide but also used data from the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS), Spain, and Eurotransplant. Using pairwise Spearman correlations, Google Trends indices were examined over time and compared with the total number of liver transplants retrieved from the respective official websites of UNOS, the Organización Nacional de Trasplantes, and Eurotransplant.

RESULTS

From 2004 to 2018, there was a significant decrease in the worldwide Google Trends index from 78.2 in 2004 to 20.5 in 2018 (–71.2%). This trend was more evident in UNOS than in the Eurotransplant group. In the same period, the number of transplanted livers increased worldwide. The waiting list mortality rate was 31% for Eurotransplant and 29% for UNOS. However, in Spain, where there are excellent awareness programs, the Google Trends index remained stable over the years with comparable, increasing LT numbers but a significantly lower waiting list mortality (15%).

CONCLUSIONS

Public awareness in LT has decreased significantly over the past two decades. Therefore, novel awareness programs should be initialized.

Publisher

JMIR Publications Inc.

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