Spillovers of US Unconventional Monetary Policy to Emerging Markets: Evidence from Egypt

Abstract

This paper studies the Spillover effect of US unconventional monetary policy (UMP) on Egypt as a case study of an emerging market and a small open economy The authors adopts structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model with variable lag structure. The Wu and Xia (2016)’s shadow interest rate is used as a measure of U.S. unconventional monetary policy. In case of Egypt, we use Short Interest rate (r) as a measure of monetary policy rate; our empirical results reveal that US unconventional monetary policies significantly affect the monetary policy of Egypt but this effect is less on other macroeconomic variables. The main recommendation of the paper is that monetary authority in Egypt should take into consideration the conflict effect of US monetary policy on Egyptian economic indicators, and at the same time it should implement suitable policies coincide with it to achieve the economic stability and targeting inflation.