Expert Judgment for Climate Change Adaptation

Author:

Thompson Erica,Frigg Roman,Helgeson Casey

Abstract

Climate change adaptation is largely a local matter, and adaptation planning can benefit from local climate change projections. Such projections are typically generated by accepting climate model outputs in a relatively uncritical way. We argue, based on the IPCC’s treatment of model outputs from the CMIP5 ensemble, that this approach is unwarranted and that subjective expert judgment should play a central role in the provision of local climate change projections intended to support decision-making.

Publisher

Cambridge University Press (CUP)

Subject

History and Philosophy of Science,Philosophy,History

Reference32 articles.

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