Retrospective study of a novel hematological parameter for predicting the survival of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Abstract

Purpose This study aims to explore the prognostic values of routine pre-treatment hematological parameters in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Methods The hematological parameters and clinical data of patients with NPC were collected from January 2012 to December 2013 at Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology. The survival statistics were obtained by regularly following-up the patients. The cut-off values for the hematological parameters were calculated using X-tile software. SPSS version 24.0 was used for the statistical analysis. The relationship between the hematological parameters and the prognosis of patients with NPC was analyzed using the Kaplan–Meier method and Cox multivariate regression. The discriminating abilities of the factors, which predict the prognosis, were evaluated by utilizing the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) area under the curve (AUC). Results This study included 179 patients with NPC. Multivariate analysis shows that pretreatment platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR; hazard ratio; HR = 0.44, 95% CI [0.21–0.91], p = 0.029), serum albumin (ALB; HR = 2.49, 95% CI [1.17–5.30], p = 0.018), and globulin (GLO; HR = 0.44, 95% CI [0.21–0.90], p = 0.024) are independent predictors for 5-year overall survival (OS) in patients with NPC. In addition, pre-treatment PLR (HR = 0.47, 95% CI [0.25–0.90], p = 0.022) and pre-treatment GLO (HR = 0.37, 95% CI [0.19–0.72], p = 0.001) are associated with 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with NPC. Based on the results of the multivariate analysis, we proposed a new biomarker GLO-PLR, which is observably correlated with the T stage, N stage and clinical stage in patients with NPC. The OS resolving ability of the GLO-PLR evaluated by AUC is 0.714, which is better than those of GLO and PLR. The PFS resolving ability of the GLO-PLR evaluated by AUC was 0.696, which is also better than those of GLO and PLR. Conclusion Pre-treatment PLR, ALB, and GLO are independent predictors of 5-year OS in patients with NPC, where PLR and GLO are also independent predictors of 5-year FPS. Compared with other hematological parameters, the proposed GLO-PLR is an inexpensive, effective, objective, and easy-to-measure marker for predicting the prognosis of NPC.