Prognostic significance of integrating total metabolic tumor volume and EGFR mutation status in patients with lung adenocarcinoma

Abstract

Background The objective of this study was to investigate the prognostic significance of total metabolic tumor volume (TMTV) derived from baseline 18F-2-fluoro-2-deoxyglucose (18F-FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT), in conjunction with epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation status, among patients with lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD). Methods We performed a retrospective analysis on 141 patients with LUAD (74 males, 67 females, median age 67 (range 34–86)) who underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT and had their EGFR mutation status determined. Optimal cutoff points for TMTV were determined using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. The survival difference was compared using Cox regression analysis and Kaplan‒Meier curves. Results The EGFR mutant patients (n = 79, 56.0%) exhibited significantly higher 2-year progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) rates compared to those with EGFR wild-type (n = 62, 44.0%), with rates of 74.2% vs 69.2% (P = 0.029) and 86.1% vs 67.7% (P = 0.009), respectively. The optimal cutoff values of TMTV were 36.42 cm3 for PFS and 37.51 cm3 for OS. Patients with high TMTV exhibited significantly inferior 2-year PFS and OS, with rates of 22.4% and 38.1%, respectively, compared to those with low TMTV, who had rates of 85.8% and 95.0% (both P < 0.001). In both the EGFR mutant and wild-type groups, patients exhibiting high TMTV demonstrated significantly inferior 2-year PFS and OS compared to those with low TMTV. In multivariate analysis, EGFR mutation status (hazard ratio, HR, 0.41, 95% confidence interval, CI [0.18–0.94], P = 0.034) and TMTV (HR 8.08, 95% CI [2.34–28.0], P < 0.001) were independent prognostic factors of OS, whereas TMTV was also an independent prognosticator of PFS (HR 2.59, 95% CI [1.30–5.13], P = 0.007). Conclusion Our study demonstrates that the integration of TMTV on baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT with EGFR mutation status improves the accuracy of prognostic evaluation for patients with LUAD.