Efficient Bayesian sampling inspection for industrial processes based on transformed spatio-temporal data

Author:

Little John1,Goldstein Michael2,Jonathan Philip3

Affiliation:

1. University of Durham, Durham, UK,

2. University of Durham, Durham, UK

3. Shell Research, Chester, UK

Abstract

Efficient inspection and maintenance of complex industrial systems, subject to degradation effects such as corrosion, are important for safety and economic reasons. With appropriate statistical modelling, the utilization of inspection resources and the quality of inferences can be greatly improved. We develop a suitable Bayesian spatio-temporal dynamic linear model for problems such as wall thickness monitoring. We are concerned with problems where the inspection method used collects transformed data, for example minimum regional remaining wall thicknesses. We describe how the model may be used to derive efficient inspection schedules by identifying when, where and how much inspection should be made in the future.

Publisher

SAGE Publications

Subject

Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty,Statistics and Probability

Cited by 7 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

1. Bayesian dynamic linear model for growth of corrosion defects on energy pipelines;Reliability Engineering & System Safety;2014-08

2. Time-Dependent Corrosion Growth Modeling Using Multiple In-Line Inspection Data;Journal of Pressure Vessel Technology;2014-04-16

3. System reliability of corroding pipelines considering stochastic process-based models for defect growth and internal pressure;International Journal of Pressure Vessels and Piping;2013-11

4. Bayes linear variance structure learning for inspection of large scale physical systems;Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability;2013-08-22

5. Bayesian linear inspection planning for large-scale physical systems;Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability;2010-07-08

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