Features of mathematical modeling of road safety on highways-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Features of mathematical modeling of road safety on highways

Published:2024-04-16 Issue:1 Volume:51 Page:61-67
ISSN:2542-095X
Container-title:Herald of Dagestan State Technical University. Technical Sciences
language:
Short-container-title:Vestn. Dagest. gos. teh. univ., Teh. nauki

Author:

Guseinov R. V.¹,Dadaeva P. A.¹,Shabazov M. M.¹,Mutalibov M. T.¹,Akhmedova M. R.²

Affiliation:

1. Daghestan State Technical University

2. Kuban State University

Abstract

Objective. The purpose of the work is to apply mathematical modeling methods to solve problems of ensuring road safety on highways.Method. Quantitative methods for analyzing road safety problems (BDD) are based on probability theory, mathematical statistics, information theory, multifactor analysis, reliability theory, modeling, programming and other mathematical methods.Result. The main trends in the study of road safety problems are considered. It is indicated that the mathematical dependences of the influence of a limited number of factors are unsuitable for a satisfactory description of the “driver-vehicle-road-environment” (VADS) system as a whole. Paying attention to the uncertainty of objects, properties and connections of the VADS system, the need to use a systematic approach in solving these problems is justified. The need to take into account regional conditions in road safety is discussed. Mathematical models recommended for solving problems of ensuring road safety are presented.Conclusion. Generalization, systematization of the vast empirical material of road accidents accumulated as a result of specific studies taking into account economic, social and demographic conditions and the development of theoretical concepts based on system representations are the most important conditions for solving the problems of ensuring road safety.

Publisher

FSB Educational Establishment of Higher Education Daghestan State Technical University

Reference21 articles.

1. https://www.ng.ru/economics/2023-03-15/4_8680_cars.html-Access date 24.10.2023. (In Russ)

2. https://news.un.org/ru/story/2021/10/1412732 – Access date 24.10.2023. (In Russ).

3. Prokhorov B.B., Shmakov D.I. Assessment the cost of statistical life and economic damage from health losses. Problems of forecasting. 2002; 3:125-135. (In Russ).

4. Prokhorov B.B., Shmakov D.I. Causes of death in peacetime and the economic cost of losses. Problems of forecasting. 2013; 4 (139):139-147. (In Russ).

5. Bykov A.A. On the methodology of economic assessment of the life of an average person (explanatory note). Problems of risk analysis. 2007; 49 (2):178-191. (In Russ).