Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to identify the potential changes in agricultural land use in Poland as a consequence of implementing the European Green Deal, including its potential economic effects. The study covered crops of key importance to Polish agriculture, cultivated in a total area of 8.2 million ha, which accounts for more than 60% of land in good agricultural condition. The analyses were based on average values for 2016–2020 and used three scenarios for EGD implementation by 2030 (no EGD; partial implementation of the EGD; full implementation of the EGD). Each analysis took account of changes in the area of land under conventional, organic and precision farming systems. The study found that EGD requirements can be met by implementing the precision farming system, especially for intensive farming schemes like rape and sugar beet. Organic farming should be used either for extensively farmed cereals like oat or for fruits which are sold at higher prices when farmed organically. Another finding is that the full implementation of the EGD could decrease the production volume of key Polish crops by 13%, which can have important social impacts, such as increased prices of food products or a deterioration of food security.
Subject
General Earth and Planetary Sciences,General Environmental Science
Reference36 articles.
1. Baum, R. 2011. Ocena zrównoważonego rozwoju w rolnictwie (studium metodyczne), Rozprawy Naukowe / Uniwersytet Przyrodniczy w Poznaniu. Poznań: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Przyrodniczego.
2. Beluhova-Uzunova, R.P., and D.M. Dunchev. 2019. “Precision Farming — Concepts and Perspectives.” Zagadnienia Ekonomiki Rolnej 360 (3):142–155. doi: 10.30858/zer/112132.
3. Blackmore, S. 1994. “Precision Farming: an Introduction.” Outlook on Agriculture 23 (4):275–280. doi: 10.1177/003072709402300407.
4. Boix-Fayos, C., and J. de Vente. 2023. “Challenges and Potential Pathways towards Sustainable Agriculture within the European Green Deal.” Agricultural Systems 207:103634. doi: 10.1016/j.agsy.2023.103634.
5. Bondyra, M. 2021. “Bez modernizacji rolnictwa nie zrealizujemy unijnych celów klimatycznych.” last modified 2021-02-25, accessed 2023-12-18, https://klubjagiellonski.pl/2021/02/25/bez-modernizacji-rolnictwa-nie-zrealizujemy-unijnych-celow-klimatycznych/.