Author:
Nilsen Dennis Winston T.,Aarsetoey Reidun,Poenitz Volker,Ueland Thor,Aukrust Pål,Michelsen Annika Elisabet,Brugger-Andersen Trygve,Staines Harry,Grundt Heidi
Abstract
<b><i>Introduction:</i></b> SERPINA3 is an acute-phase protein triggered by inflammation. It is upregulated after an acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Data on its long-term prognostic value in MI patients are scarce. We aimed to assess the utility of SERPINA3 as a prognostic marker in patients hospitalized for chest pain of suspected coronary origin. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> A total of 871 consecutive patients, 386 diagnosed with AMI, were included. Stepwise Cox regression models, applying continuous log<sub>e</sub>-transformed values, were fitted for the biomarker with all-cause mortality and cardiac death within 2 years or all-cause mortality within the median 7 years as dependent variables. An analysis of MI and stroke, and combined endpoints, respectively, was added. The hazard ratio (HR) (95% CI) was assessed in a univariate and multivariable model. <b><i>Results:</i></b> Plasma samples from 847 patients were available. By 2-year follow-up, 138 (15.8%) patients had died, of which 86 were cardiac deaths. The univariate analysis showed a significant association between SERPINA3 and all-cause mortality (HR 1.41 [95% 1.19–1.68], <i>p</i> < 0.001) but not for cardiac death. Associations after adjustment were non-significant. By 7-year follow-up, 332 (38.1%) patients had died. SERPINA3 was independently associated with all-cause mortality from the third year onward. The HR was 1.14 (95% CI, 1.02–1.28), <i>p</i> = 0.022. Similar results applied to combined endpoints, but not for MI and stroke, respectively. The prognostic value of SERPINA3 was limited to non-AMI patients. No independent associations were noted among AMI patients. <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> SERPINA3 predicts long-term all-cause mortality but fails to predict outcome in AMI patients.