TOWARDS AN ADEQUATE ASSESSMENT OF THE EFFECTS OF STATE PROGRAMS OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION: METHODOLOGICAL AND METHODOLOGICAL PROPOSALS

Abstract

The article is devoted to the substantiation of methodological approaches to the identification and assessment of long-term socially significant effects of state programs of the Russian Federation. In this regard, the domestic methodology and practice of developing and evaluating the effectiveness of state programs of the Russian Federation are subjected to critical analysis. It is stated that in the adopted model of assessing efficiency («as is»), socially significant effects of government programs are assessed indirectly through the program outcomes and indicators, and such an approach significantly reduces the completeness and reliability of the estimates obtained. The proposed model for assessing «how it should be», based on the implementation of the principles, procedures and tools used in the best foreign practice for assessing the effects of state programs, will increase the level of substantiation of the contribution of state programs of the Russian Federation to the socio-economic development of the country, individual industries and spheres of the national economy, human capital. Among the innovations are: differentiation of the concepts of «efficiency» and «effectiveness» of the state program; identification of the entire spectrum of effects (including external and negative) generated by program activities; assessment of the social and economic effects of government programs as additional benefits of the national economy, its individual sectors and spheres, the population in comparison with the so-called «status quo» scenario. During the transition period, it is proposed to use a number of analytical procedures to assess the effects of government programs of the Russian Federation based on the available information and currently adopted methods for their development and effectiveness assessment (on the example of several government programs).