Abstract
AbstractIn this paper, we design and apply the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network approach to predict several financial classes’ time series under COVID-19 pandemic crisis period. We use the S&P GSCI commodity indices and their sub-indices and consider the stock market indices for different regions. Based on the daily prices, the results show that the proposed LSTM network can form a robust prediction model to determine the optimal diversification strategies. Our prediction model achieved RMSEs and MAEs too small for the different selected financial assets, showing the predictive power of our LSTM network especially during the COVID-19 health crisis. In addition, our LSTM network outperforms ARIMA-type models for all selected assets.
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Subject
General Economics, Econometrics and Finance,General Psychology,General Social Sciences,General Arts and Humanities,General Business, Management and Accounting
Reference46 articles.
1. Awan FM, Minerva R, Crespi N (2020) Improving road traffic forecasting using air pollution and atmospheric data: Experiments based on LSTM recurrent neural networks. Sensors 20(13):3749
2. Cao Q, Leggio KB, Schniederjans MJ (2005) A comparison between Fama and French’s model and artificial neural networks in predicting the Chinese stock market. Comput Oper Res 32(10):2499–2512
3. Chen K, Zhou Y, Dai F (2015) A LSTM-based method for stock returns prediction: a case study of China stock market. In: IEEE international conference on big data. IEEE, Santa Clara, CA, USA, p 2823–2824. https://doi.org/10.1109/BigData.2015.7364089
4. Chen QA, Li CD (2006) Comparison of forecasting performance of AR, STAR and ANN models on the Chinese stock market index. Advances in Neural Networks - Isnn2006, Pt 3, Proceedings, 3973. Springer-Verlag Berlin, Berlin, Germany, p 464–470
5. Datta D, David PE, Mittal D, Jain A (2020) Neural machine translation using recurrent neural network. Int J Eng Adv Technol 9(4):1395–1400
Cited by
3 articles.
订阅此论文施引文献
订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献