Paleothermometry by control methods

Abstract

AbstractThe recovery of past climatic conditions from ice-sheet borehole temperatures can best be accomplished using the calculus of variations (control methods) to minimize mismatch between the observed profile and a solution of the heat equation which depends on the unknown climate history. Here, we use control methods and a simple one-dimensional heat equation and the temperature depth profile observed at Dye-3 to infer the surface temperature of south Greenland over the last 30 000 years. This history illustrates the virtues that recommend control methods for future use in borehole-temperature analysis, namely: (i) it meets objective performance criteria, and (ii) its uncertainty can be established quantitatively. Our inferred climate history displays what may be the Younger Dryas cold event at about 9000 years BP. Borehole paleothermometry by control methods may thus resolve the controversy concerning the interpretation of Greenland ice-core isotope records.