Planning and risk analysis in projects of procurement of agricultural raw materials for the production of environmentally friendly fuel

Abstract

The analysis of the current state of implementation of corn waste collection projects for the production of environmentally friendly fuel is performed. It is substantiated that the planning of the need for technical equipment of corn waste collection projects for the production of environmentally friendly fuel in a given season is based on the results of forecasting the basic events of the internal design environment. A method and a statistical simulation model for planning the need for technical equipment of corn waste collection projects for the production of environmentally friendly fuel have been developed. They provide an assessment of the timely performance of work in individual fields, as well as take into account the changing design environment, which causes the risk of the specific cost of disposal of corn waste. The developed simulation model of maize waste collection, which is available for disposal under the condition of maintaining the balance of organic carbon in the fields, has been tested for adequacy. Indicators of use of technical equipment and tendencies of change of risk of specific cost of alienation of corn waste are substantiated.