Prognostic and predictive factors in early stages of classic Hodgkin’s lymphoma

Abstract

Rationale. In the early stages of classical Hodgkin’s lymphoma (cHL), the cure rate reaches 85–95 %, but the long-term effects of therapy can worsen overall survival. Current trials for early stages of Hodgkin’s lymphoma with favorable prognosis address the task of maintaining cure rates while reducing sequelae. For early unfavorable stages, the challenge is to improve cure rate without increasing toxicity.Purpose. To assess the potential significance of individual risk factors for optimal choice of the first line chemotherapy in early-stage Hodgkin lymphoma.Materials and methods. This single-center retrospective study included 290 patients with early stage cHL who had received ABVD – based (n = 249; 86 %) or BEACOPP‑21 – based (n = 41; 14 %) combined modality therapy from 2000 to 2017. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed in Cox regression analysis including 12 clinical parameters.Main results. At a median follow up of 60 months for the entire group, OS was 95 % and PFS was 89 %. In a multivariate analysis PFS, at 5 years, was significantly inferior in patients with mediastinal bulk, baseline lymphocytopenia (≤ 0.6 × 109/L, р = 0.002; < 1.0 × 109/L, р = 0.000) and male gender; OS was inferior only in patients with an absolute lymphocytopenia (AL). In patients with AL, PFS after ABVD-based regimen was, respectively, 12 % in the high-risk group with mediastinal bulk and 56 % without it. PFS of patients without AL when treated with ABVD did not differ compared to BEACOPP‑21 within the same prognostic group: 95.2 % vs. 92.3 % for non-bulky and 86.4 % vs. 84.2 % for bulky disease. In the absence of AL, mediastinal bulk remained the main and only risk factor in multivariate analysis.Conclusions. The ABVD regimen is highly effective in the first line of chemotherapy for cHL, except for cases with baseline lymphocytopenia, in which the early usage of the BEACOPP regimen in the escalated or 14-day variants might be justified. In patients with mediastinal bulk, standard chemotherapy is not effective enough even in the absence of AL; therefore, if an intermediate PET/CT scan is available, it seems more appropriate to use a milder ABVD regimen on the first line and leave intensive therapy for patients with proven refractory disease. Prospects for improving the efficiency are opened with the new N-AVD and A-AVD schemes, the benefits of which should be evaluated, first of all, in patients with AL and mediastinal bulk.