How Russia’s trade with China influences carbon dioxide emissions in Russian regions

Abstract

The Sino-Russian partnership has become one of the hottest issues in contemporary international politics. Significantly, the highest potential is in the movement of both countries to Carbon Neutrality. China pursues the goal to reach its carbon peak by 2030, aiming to achieve net-zero carbon dioxide emissions. The Russian government is also involved in new programs concerning emissions reduction. The two countries plan to collaborate on a new level of responsibility and transregional interconnection. The paper aims to analyze the influence of Russia’s trade with China on carbon dioxide emissions in Russian regions. The authors present a review of carbon dioxide emissions between the two countries, explore the processes of trade in several categories of products and outline forward forecast tendencies. The paper uses complicated forecasting modeling in Python to assess the prospects of trade collaboration between Russia and China untill 2030. It makes forecasts of the volumes of carbon dioxide emissions and environmental trends till 2030. The research results show that the highest levels of emissions are observed in the industries “Mineral products”, “Chemical products” and “Animal husbandry and fishing products and services”, while “Wood works and furniture”, and “Agriculture products and services” produce considerably fewer emissions.