Meteorological Regimes of the Most Intense Convective Systems along the Southern Himalayan Front

Abstract

Abstract Based on 16 years of Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) data and NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis data, the most intense convective systems (ICSs) along the southern Himalayan front (SHF) are studied using the multivariate techniques of principal component analysis in T mode and k-means cluster analysis. Three clusters, classified according to the near-surface fields of wind, specific humidity, convective available potential energy, and convective inhibition, correspond to the premonsoon (March–May), the establishment of the monsoon (late May–early June), and the Indian summer monsoon itself (June–September), respectively. The location of ICSs along the SHF is closely related to the establishment of the transport passage from the eastern SHF to the northwestern SHF along the Himalayas. During the premonsoon, the southwesterly wind is weak and moist air from the Bay of Bengal is transported to the eastern SHF, where ICSs are densely distributed. The oceanic southwesterly wind is enhanced and the transport passage extends to the central SHF during the monsoon establishment period, when ICSs distribute over the whole SHF homogeneously. The southwesterly wind is the strongest and the transport passage extends to the westernmost SHF after the monsoon is established, when ICSs mainly concentrate over the concave indentation region. Backward trajectory analysis confirms that, besides the local environment, the moisture transport from the Arabian Sea (17%) and the Bay of Bengal (9%) are two important long-range transport pathways for the summer monsoon ICSs at the western end of the SHF.