The Impact of an Extreme Cloud burst on Edinburgh Castle

Author:

Tett Simon F. B.1,Cha YoungHwa1,Donovan Kate1,Geffers Gina-Maria1,Hawkins Ed2

Affiliation:

1. School of Geosciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom;

2. National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom

Abstract

An extreme cloudburst on 4 July 2021 damaged Edinburgh Castle. Relative to preindustrial, and based on results from a convective permitting model, observed warming increased the risk by ∼30%, which further increases to ∼70% in a +2-K world.

Publisher

American Meteorological Society

Subject

Atmospheric Science

Reference27 articles.

1. Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle;Allen, M. R.,2002

2. Edinburgh flooding: Half of July rain fell in one hour,2021

3. An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values.;Coles, S.,2001

4. An Introduction to the Bootstrap.;Efron, B.,1993

5. extRemes 2.0: An extreme value analysis package in R;Gilleland, E.,2016

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