Attribution of the July 2021 Record-Breaking Northwest Pacific Marine Heatwave to Global Warming, Atmospheric Circulation, and ENSO

Author:

Li Delei1,Chen Yang2,Qi Jifeng1,Zhu Yuchao1,Lu Chunhui3,Yin Baoshu4

Affiliation:

1. CAS Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Waves, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, and Pilot National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology (Qingdao), Qingdao, China;

2. State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China;

3. National Climate Center, Laboratory for Climate Studies, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China;

4. CAS Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Waves, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, and Pilot National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology (Qingdao), Qingdao, and College of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

Abstract

The 2021 northwest Pacific marine heatwave was favored by the atmospheric and oceanic conditions; changes in the mean climate due to anthropogenic warming made the event 43 times more likely.

Publisher

American Meteorological Society

Subject

Atmospheric Science

Reference28 articles.

1. Anthropogenic warming has substantially increased the likelihood of July 2017–like heat waves over central eastern China [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2017 from a Climate Perspective;Chen, Y.,2019

2. Anthropogenic climate change and the record-high temperature of May 2020 in western Europe [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2020 from a Climate Perspective;Christidis, N.,2022

3. A new HadGEM3-A-based system for attribution of weather- and climate-related extreme events;Christidis, N.,2013

4. Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization;Eyring, V.,2016

5. Anthropogenic contribution to global occurrence of heavy-precipitation and high-temperature extremes;Fischer, E. M.,2015

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